Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 36

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi)

Referee: Izoria I. (Geo)


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Gareji Sagarejo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.28	10.9
	1.41	4.44	6.5	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9.5
	1.28	5.11	11.2	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.7)	5.17 ↑ (3.55)	9.42 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
72.3%

Draw
17.9%

Gareji Sagarejo
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torpedo Kutaisi's performance.

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gareji Sagarejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torpedo Kutaisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gareji Sagarejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo Predictions

Users Predictions: Torpedo Kutaisi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kljajic F. (G) 26. Basiladze A. 16. Mane S. 33. Eric Pimentel 2. Warley 8. Itrak M. 7. Mamuchashvili V. (C) 20. Ghudushauri P. 17. Andric K. 14. Felipe Pires 9. Johnsen B.	28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 35. Mzwakali B. 3. Kamladze I. (C) 30. Arthur J. 15. Kapanadze T. 14. Parunashvili L. 7. Gogoberishvili B. 23. Tolordava L. 9. Gogolashvili G. 16. Skhirtladze D. 19. Ekongolo F.
Substitutes
6. Cherif M. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 13. Katkov G. 10. Kokhreidze G. 4. Kvirkvelia S. 5. Nadaraia T. 11. Rafael Reis 23. Simic M. 24. Tkeshelashvili A.	27. Aleksidze T. 13. Galakhvaridze N. 26. Gulisashvili I. 40. Kometiani M. 1. Kutaladze L. (G) 2. Mosashvili B. 10. Papava L. 8. Tsetskhladze T.
Coaches
Schuster D.	Mikadze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Tolordava L. 🟨,
42', Mane S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gogolashvili G. ↓, Kometiani M. ↑,
46', Ekongolo F. ↓, Gulisashvili I. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Ghudushauri P. ⚽, Andric K. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Johnsen B. ⚽, Mamuchashvili V. (A),
66', Mzwakali B. ↓, Aleksidze T. ↑,
66', Gogoberishvili B. ↓, Galakhvaridze N. ↑,
66', Felipe Pires ↓, Kokhreidze G. ↑,
72', Basiladze A. ↓, Nadaraia T. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Kometiani M. ⚽, Tolordava L. (A),
81', Warley ↓, Cherif M. ↑,
86', Tolordava L. ↓, Papava L. ↑,

Preview

Torpedo Kutaisi is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

Gareji is Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)

Torpedo Kutaisi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gareji is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gareji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torpedo Kutaisi is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Torpedo Kutaisi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo Kutaisi - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
30.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Kolkheti Poti	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:4 ✺
08.11.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	5:1 ✺
03.11.25	Dila Gori - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWL
- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
30.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Iberia 1999	0:4 ✺
25.11.25	Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kolkheti Poti - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
03.10.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:3
29.05.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo	0:2
19.04.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1

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