Match Info

National League South - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.1
	1.37	4.88	7.52
	1.33	5.11	7.68	Watch
	1.37	4.65	7.38
	1.3	5.4	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	4.96 ↓ (5.11)	7.4 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
68.8%

Draw
18.7%

Chippenham Town
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.2%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Torquay United - Chippenham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torquay (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Young J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Lo-Everton S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Dennis L. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 4.

Torquay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chippenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Torquay is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torquay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
18.10.25	Chesham United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Torquay United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Totton - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWL
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
18.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Walton & Hersham - Chippenham Town	0:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Enfield Town - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.03.25	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:3
03.09.24	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0
23.01.24	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:1
15.08.23	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:2
English National League South
19.04.19	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	2:1
08.09.18	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	0:1

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