Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 38

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2	3.6	3.3
	2.06	3.63	3.38
	2.06	3.63	3.38
	2	3.78	3.26
	2.05	3.55	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.22 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
45.7%

Draw
25.6%

Dartford
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

24.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torquay United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Torquay United - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Torquay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Torquay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Torquay United - Aveley	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Farnborough - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Braintree Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Torquay United - Slough Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTLL
- Dartford
English National League South
27.02.24	Dartford - Aveley	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Dartford - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Slough Town - Dartford	3:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dover Athletic - Dartford	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Dartford - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.11.23	Dartford - Torquay United	3:0
16.03.19	Torquay United - Dartford	2:0
04.12.18	Dartford - Torquay United	0:2
English National League
04.04.15	Torquay United - Dartford	1:1
23.08.14	Dartford - Torquay United	0:0

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