Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.4	4.52	6.92
	1.39	4.44	6.9
	1.4	4.6	6.82
	1.4	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	4.58 ↑ (4.3)	6.61 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
66%

Draw
20.1%

Aveley
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torquay United's performance.

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Torquay United - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Carson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,

Preview

Torquay is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aveley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Torquay is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Torquay to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Torquay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
26.08.24	Chesham United - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.08.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Farnborough - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Torquay United - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- Aveley
English National League South
26.08.24	Aveley - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.02.24	Torquay United - Aveley	2:2
02.09.23	Aveley - Torquay United	2:1

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