Match Info

National League South - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.78
	2.22	3.6	2.87
	2.06	3.65	3.15	Watch
	2.2	3.44	2.82
	2.2	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
42.3%

Draw
25.9%

Worthing
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Torquay United - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Colbran J. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Cook J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Dennis L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Young J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 2, Dennis L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Torquay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Worthing is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Torquay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torquay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
22.11.25	Torquay United - Eastbourne Borough	7:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Torquay United - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Farnborough - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Torquay United - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
22.11.25	Slough Town - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:4 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Worthing - Totton	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.02.25	Worthing - Torquay United	2:2
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Worthing - Torquay United	5:1
English National League South
22.10.24	Torquay United - Worthing	2:1
27.01.24	Worthing - Torquay United	4:2
12.08.23	Torquay United - Worthing	0:3

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