Match Info

National League South - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.35	3.15
	2.18	3.47	3.04	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.21
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.47)	3.1 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
42.5%

Draw
27.7%

Hornchurch
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Torquay United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Torquay United - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Dolan C. (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Hearn H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Balanta A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In recent matches, Torquay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hornchurch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hornchurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of home games.

Torquay might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torquay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Torquay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
25.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Chesham United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Torquay United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
25.10.25	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hornchurch - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Slough Town - Hornchurch	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.02.25	Torquay United - Hornchurch	2:1
26.10.24	Hornchurch - Torquay United	2:1

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