Match Info

National League South - Round 11

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Worthing		Totton

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.05
	1.69	4.08	4.35
	1.83	3.78	3.75	Watch
	1.67	3.88	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)	3.9 ↑ (3.78)	4.07 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
53.5%

Draw
23.7%

Totton
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Worthing - Totton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Totton will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
84', 4 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Worthing has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Totton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is considered a favorite.

We predict that Worthing will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
08.11.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Worthing - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Chesham United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- AFC Totton
English National League South
08.11.25	Totton - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Totton - Maidenhead United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Totton	6:3 ✺
English National League South
25.10.25	Totton - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Bath City - Totton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL

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