Match Info

National League South - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.8	1.75
	4	3.82	1.81
	3.93	3.98	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.8
	3.87	3.87	1.81
	3.6	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.07)	3.8 ↓ (3.99)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
23.9%

Draw
24.2%

Worthing
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

23%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.5%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Tonbridge Angels - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Korboa R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tonbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.36%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
28.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
03.03.26	Worthing - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hornchurch - Worthing	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Worthing - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Worthing - Slough Town	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:4
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
08.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:2
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2
20.01.24	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:1
05.08.23	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
04.02.23	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	2:1

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