Match Info

National League South - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.92
	2.13	3.49	3.22
	2.03	3.78	3.13	Watch
	2.18	3.63	2.98
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)	3.6 ↓ (3.78)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Worthing
44.2%

Draw
25.8%

Hemel Hempstead Town
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Colbran J. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 0, King T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2.

Worthing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hemel Hempstead has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hemel Hempstead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Worthing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
01.11.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Worthing - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Chesham United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.10.25	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
04.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wigan Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
25.10.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0
24.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1
23.12.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	2:0
09.09.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
29.04.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
24.09.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1
English FA Trophy
29.11.16	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	0:1

Upcoming Matches