Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 15

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	York City		Barnet

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.55
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.63	3.42	2.66
	2.58	3.4	2.61	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.52	3.44	2.49
	2.6	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.72)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	2.53 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
36.3%

Draw
26.9%

Barnet
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

York City - Barnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 15. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Felix J. 17. Harriott C. 5. Howe C. (C) 8. Hunt A. 21. John C. 10. Pearce O.	1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 33. Hobson B. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M.
Substitutes
20. Aguiar R. 19. Chadwick B. 2. Fallowfield R. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 7. Sinclair T. 29. Thomas L. 16. Watson R. (G)	13. Bellagambi G. (G) 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 30. Kizzi J. 6. Okimo J. 5. Rye J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Harriott C. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Hobson B. ⚽,
43', Akinyemi D. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
43', Harriott C. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Armstrong M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', Glover R. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Hunt A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽,
80', Kanu I. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
80', Armstrong M. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
88', Shelton M. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,
89', Pearce O. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,
90+2', Fallowfield R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches York won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams York won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
19.10.24	York City - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Biggleswade FC - York City	1:3 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Woking - York City	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	York City - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
24.09.24	Solihull Moors - York City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTTW
- Barnet
English National League
19.10.24	Solihull Moors - Barnet	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Barnet - Chelmsford City	4:0 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Barnet - Boston United	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Barnet - Fylde	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.02.24	Barnet - York City	2:0
26.09.23	York City - Barnet	2:4
03.04.23	York City - Barnet	1:0
01.10.22	Barnet - York City	0:5
English League Two
12.03.16	York City - Barnet	1:1
17.10.15	Barnet - York City	3:1
16.02.13	York City - Barnet	1:2

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