The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 40.9%
Draw 27%
York City 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
26.5%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
25.7%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Chesterfield - York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 5. McFadzean K. (C) 6. Simpson J. 19. Gordon L. 20. McEachran G. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 18. Marsh L. 37. Koroma J. 10. Bonis L.
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 15. King J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 30. Newby A. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
9. Bryden F. 27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T. 31. Randall J.
23. Felix J. 32. Hunt J. 11. Maguire F. 18. Malcolm J. 4. Medley Z. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
Coaches
Cook P.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', McEachran G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, McEachran G. (A),
63', King J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
70', McEachran G. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
71', Marsh L. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
71', Koroma J. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
73', Newby A. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
73', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
80', Banks O. 🟨,
84', Kitching M. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
85', Grey J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
85', Gordon L. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
89', Bonis L. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
90', Pearce O. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Markanday D. ⚽, Bryden F. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Duffy D.
(Inactive)
Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou R.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for York: Boateng H.
(Inactive)
Maguire F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for York: Stones J.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:10 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chesterfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
York City
9
4
3
2
17:11
6
15
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
York City - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.78%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Boot R. (G) 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Koroma J. 
Bonis L. 
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