Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Torredonjimeno		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	4.9	3.65	1.61
	4.45	4.07	1.61
	4.36	4.12	1.62	Watch
	5.37	3.62	1.57
	4.9	3.65	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (6.17)	3.79 ↓ (4.05)	1.6 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torredonjimeno
19.1%

Draw
24.1%

Real Jaén
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

22.5%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

21.4%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torredonjimeno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Hita M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Segura J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 2, Cabello M. ⚽,
72', 1 - 3, Adri P. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.11.24	Mancha Real - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Torredonjimeno - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Malaga B - Torredonjimeno	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Málaga Juniors - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	El Palo - Torredonjimeno	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.11.24	Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Motril - Real Jaén	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Real Jaén - Cádiz	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.10.24	El Ejido - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Real Jaén - Huétor Vega	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.08.24	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	3:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.05.24	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	1:1
17.12.23	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	4:1
19.02.23	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	0:0
23.10.22	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	0:1
13.03.22	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	1:1
14.11.21	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	1:0

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