The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tottenham Hotspur 43.8%
Draw 25.5%
Newcastle United 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
26.7%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
26.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tottenham Hotspur's form might have worsened.
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44%
24%
32%
Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Newcastle will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 25.9% – 65.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 14. Gray A. 6. van Hecke J. P. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 3. Robertson A. 30. Bentancur R. 16. Tonali S. 23. Porro P. 18. Fernandes M. 11. Tel M. 22. Marmoush O.
21. Hornicek L. (G) 37. Dedic A. 12. Thiaw M. (C) 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 6. Nico 67. Miley L. 19. Elanga A. 28. Willock J. 11. Barnes H. 9. Wissa Y.
Substitutes
15. Bergvall L. 33. Davies B. 39. Dubravka M. (G) 8. Gallagher C. 20. Kudus M. 47. Moore M. 5. Senesi M. 19. Solanke D. 13. Udogie D.
8. Bamba A. 24. Jaouen E. (G) 23. Murphy J. 41. Ramsey J. 5. Schar F. 51. Shahar L. 14. Steur S. 17. Toure B. 27. Woltemade N.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.
Jaissle M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', van de Ven M. 🟨,
13', Nico 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Elanga A. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
68', Gray A. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
68', Robertson A. ↓, Udogie D. ↑,
68', Tel M. ↓, Kudus M. ↑,
71', Willock J. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
71', Nico ↓, Steur S. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
75', Tonali S. ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
79', Botman S. 🟨,
82', Wissa Y. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
82', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
90+3', Barnes H. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Tottenham: Kulusevski D.
(Knee Injury)
Maddison J.
(Knock)
Odobert W.
(Knee Injury)
Simons X.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D.
(Ankle Injury)
Joelinton
(Injury)
Livramento V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osula W.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Tottenham: Kudus M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarr P. M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).