What is the expert prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 05, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2, SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League, Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport 4K
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Palace TV, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Tottenham Hotspur		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.88
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.55	3.3	2.88
	2.57	3.4	2.92
	2.49	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.65	3.4	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.28)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
38.3%

Draw
28.6%

Crystal Palace
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	21.7%	35%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 26 - 44.1%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 21 - 35.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 31.4% – 56.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Crystal Palace (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Tottenham (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 6. Palhinha J. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 23. Porro P. 14. Gray A. 29. Sarr P. M. 38. Souza 39. Kolo Muani R. 11. Tel M. 19. Solanke D.	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 34. Riad C. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 29. Guessand E. 22. Larsen J. S.
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 22. Gallagher C. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 57. Kyerematen R. 52. Olusesi C. 9. Richarlison 76. Rowswell J. 7. Simons X.	44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 11. Johnson B. 8. Lerma J. 10. Pino Y. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Tudor I.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', Souza 🟨,
14', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
22', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
25', Sarr P. M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Solanke D. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
38', van de Ven M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 1, Sarr I. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Souza ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
43', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
45+7', 1 - 3, Sarr I. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Guessand E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
74', Solanke D. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
74', Porro P. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
81', Larsen J. S. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
81', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
82', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
90+2', Clyne N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 3.

Tottenham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crystal Palace has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Red Card) Udogie D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Lacroix M. (Red Card) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Spence D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

banner

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
17	Tottenham	38	10	11	17	48:57	-9	41

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
01.03.26	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
01.03.26	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Crystal Palace - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1
11.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	0:2
27.10.24	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
02.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	3:1
27.10.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
06.05.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:0
04.01.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4

Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide