Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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World	Sport 24


	Tottenham Hotspur		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.88
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.55	3.3	2.88
	2.57	3.4	2.92
	2.49	3.45	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.65	3.4	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.28)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
38.3%

Draw
28.6%

Crystal Palace
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	21.7%	35%

Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 26 - 44.1%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 21 - 35.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 31.4% – 56.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Crystal Palace (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Tottenham (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 6. Palhinha J. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 23. Porro P. 14. Gray A. 29. Sarr P. M. 38. Souza 39. Kolo Muani R. 11. Tel M. 19. Solanke D.	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 34. Riad C. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 29. Guessand E. 22. Larsen J. S.
Substitutes
40. Austin B. (G) 8. Bissouma Y. 22. Gallagher C. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 57. Kyerematen R. 52. Olusesi C. 9. Richarlison 76. Rowswell J. 7. Simons X.	44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 11. Johnson B. 8. Lerma J. 10. Pino Y. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Tudor I.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', Souza 🟨,
14', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
22', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
25', Sarr P. M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Solanke D. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
38', van de Ven M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 1, Sarr I. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Souza ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
43', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
45+7', 1 - 3, Sarr I. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Guessand E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
74', Solanke D. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
74', Porro P. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
81', Larsen J. S. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
81', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
82', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
90+2', Clyne N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 3.

Tottenham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crystal Palace has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Red Card) Udogie D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Lacroix M. (Red Card) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Spence D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
01.03.26	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
01.03.26	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Crystal Palace - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1
11.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	0:2
27.10.24	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
02.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	3:1
27.10.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
06.05.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:0
04.01.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4

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