Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Totton		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.78	4	3.75
	1.74	4	3.92	Watch
	1.74	3.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.89)	3.98 ↓ (4.11)	3.84 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
52.7%

Draw
23.2%

Berkhamsted
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Totton - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Totton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berkhamsted is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Totton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
27.09.23	Gosport Borough - Totton	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Totton - Hendon	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Basingstoke Town - Totton	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Totton - Hanwell Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Royston Town - Berkhamsted	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Berkhamsted - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
12.09.23	Leamington - Berkhamsted	4:0 ✺
09.09.23	Berkhamsted - Long Eaton United	0:1 ✺
28.08.23	Sudbury Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLLT

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