Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 40

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Basingstoke Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.4	1.6
	3.8	4.7	1.6
	3.95	4.88	1.62
	4.17	4.7	1.63
	4.76	3.98	1.57
	3.8	4.7	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (4.01)	4.56 ↑ (4.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basingstoke Town
22.7%

Draw
20.1%

Totton
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

21.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+1%)

Basingstoke Town - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Basingstoke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Totton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basingstoke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Basingstoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
12.04.25	Wimborne Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Walton & Hersham - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Basingstoke Town - Frome Town	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Sholing - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTLT
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
12.04.25	Totton - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Taunton Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hungerford Town - Totton	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hanwell Town - Totton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.09.24	Totton - Basingstoke Town	2:2
26.12.23	Totton - Basingstoke Town	2:2
28.08.23	Basingstoke Town - Totton	3:2

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