Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	19:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN 5
Brazil	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN 5
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	20:00	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	23:00	Sport+
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Paraguay	14:00	ESPN 5
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	20:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
South Africa	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Trabzonspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.70	2.30	Watch
	2.60	3.75	2.37
	2.50	3.65	2.55	Watch
	2.67	3.97	2.49
	2.44	3.8	2.63	Watch
	2.60	3.90	2.40
	2.54	3.86	2.58	Watch
	2.55	3.70	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.02)	3.79 ↑ (3.78)	2.45 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
36.9%

Draw
24.8%

Beşiktaş
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trabzonspor's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trabzonspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 15. Savic S. (C) 55. Lopes Cabral S. 11. Tufan O. 6. Fabinho 10. Salah M. 7. Muci E. 58. Simsir A. 9. Franculino	1. Nubel A. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. (C) 6. Ozcan S. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 21. Miretti F. 19. Trossard L. 28. Vlahovic D.
Substitutes
4. Akaydin S. 81. Akcay K. 96. Colak E. (G) 99. Habesoglu A. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 77. Mimaroglu M. 14. Nayir U. 39. Ozkacar C. 70. Saviolo N. 1. Yildirim A. (G)	50. Akdag U. 80. Alemdar D. (G) 22. Bulut T. 35. Djalo T. 29. Fakili I. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 4. Ndidi W. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 11. Ouattara K. 17. Poku E.
Coaches
Reis T.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tufan O. ⚽,
32', Miretti F. 🟨,
33', Fabinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Topcu E. 🟨,
63', Tufan O. ↓, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Salah M. ⚽, Franculino (A),
77', Miretti F. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
77', Cerny V. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
77', Yilmaz R. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
81', Simsir A. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
85', Fakili I. 🟨,
85', Olaitan J. ↓, Ndidi W. ↑,
88', Franculino ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
89', Muci E. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
90', Ozcan S. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
90', Ouattara K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 1.

Trabzonspor has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Beşiktaş shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Knee Injury) Kabasakal M. (Red Card) Yokuslu O. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Beşiktaş: Cerny V. (Muscle Injury) Rashica M. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Trabzonspor: Cevikkan O. (Tendon Injury) Onuachu P. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Trabzonspor has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:34 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trabzonspor against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:16 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	22:8	14	19
4	Besiktas	9	6	0	3	18:10	8	18

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Trabzonspor: 17.83% Besiktas: 14.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Trabzonspor - Drogheda United	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.09.26	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Konyaspor - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Hoffenheim - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
11.10.26	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Amed SK - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Beşiktaş - Olympique Marseille	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
11.09.26	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.05.26	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	1:2
14.12.25	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:3
15.02.25	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	2:1
15.09.24	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	1:1
Turkish Cup
23.05.24	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	3:2
Turkish Super League
04.02.24	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	2:0
17.09.23	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:0

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