Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Besiktas Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q League Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 2
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 2
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, TV8
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	We Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 3
South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sky Sport Mix, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Beşiktaş		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	4.33
	1.68	4.20	4.50
	1.70	4.10	4.50
	1.73	4.25	4.74
	1.77	4.28	4.32	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.60
	1.74	4.41	4.16
	1.75	4.30	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.11)	4.25 ↑ (3.82)	4.46 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
55.9%

Draw
22.6%

Olympique Marseille
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

24.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.1%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beşiktaş's performance.

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beşiktaş that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	17.2%	10.3%

Beşiktaş - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 60.9% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Marseille (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Beşiktaş (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Marseille (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nubel A. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 53. Topcu E. 11. Ouattara K. 6. Ozcan S. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 29. Fakili I. 28. Vlahovic D.	12. De Lange J. (G) 22. Weah T. (C) 4. Egan-Riley C. 13. Cornelius D. 25. Garcia U. 23. Hojbjerg P. 8. Abdelli H. 48. Abdallah K. 7. Gomes A. 77. Harit A. 11. Maupay N.
Substitutes
50. Akdag U. 80. Alemdar D. (G) 22. Bulut T. 35. Djalo T. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 90. Kilicsoy S. 21. Miretti F. 4. Ndidi W. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 58. Ozcan Y. 17. Poku E. 33. Yilmaz R.	21. Aguerd N. 74. Bezahaf K. 33. Emerson 9. Gouiri A. 42. Kamissoko N. 46. Koum Mbondo A. 18. Meite B. 43. Mmadi T. 29. Moumbagna F. 14. Paixao I. 40. Van Neck J. (G) 92. Vermot T. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Agbadou E. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Fakili I. ⚽, Olaitan J. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Abdallah K. ⚽, Abdelli H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Agbadou E. ↓, Djalo T. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Cerny V. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
58', Garcia U. ↓, Emerson ↑,
58', Gomes A. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Murillo M. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
67', Cornelius D. ↓, Aguerd N. ↑,
67', Maupay N. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
71', Kokcu O. ↓, Ndidi W. ↑,
71', Cerny V. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
72', Harit A. 🟨,
81', 4 - 1, Poku E. ⚽, Olaitan J. (A),
82', Abdallah K. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
82', Olaitan J. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
82', Fakili I. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
90+5', Miretti F. 🟨,

Preview

Beşiktaş has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marseille is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Beşiktaş is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Keles C. (Off the roster) Rashica M. (Off the roster) Trossard L. (Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Injury) Koum Mbondo A. (Inactive) Nnadi T. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	7:3	4	6
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Besiktas: 4.36% Marseille: 2.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
11.09.26	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Beşiktaş - Çorum	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.08.26	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
11.09.26	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches