Match Info

Turkish Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Austria	A Spor
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Israel	Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	A Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2


	Trabzonspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.66	3.99	4.72	Watch
	1.63	4.06	4.85	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
	1.65	3.95	4.96	Watch
	1.66	3.99	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	5.79 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
60.8%

Draw
22.9%

Bodrumspor
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

25.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (C) 79. Malheiro P. 35. Yokuslu O. 29. Saatci S. 19. Eskihellac M. 6. Mendy B. 5. Lundstram J. 22. Zubkov O. 14. Sikan D. 7. Visca E. 17. Banza S.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 33. Celustka O. (C) 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 26. Mohammed M. 41. Bayrakdar G. 16. Fredy 10. Bardhi E. 11. Okita J. 99. Seferi T.
Substitutes
77. Bosluk A. 61. Canak C. 94. Destan E. 70. Dragus D. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 10. Muhammed Cham 15. Savic S. 54. Taha M. (G) 11. Tufan O. 84. Yilmaz A. S.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 5. Antalyali T. 70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 4. Degismez E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 23. Ergun U. 29. Herelle C. 6. Ozdamar S. 9. Puscas G.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Morais J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Banza S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Seferi T. ⚽, Fredy (A),
20', 1 - 2, Bardhi E. ⚽, Seferi T. (A),
22', 2 - 2, Eskihellac M. ⚽, Yokuslu O. (A),
26', Sen C. 🟨,
34', Sen C. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Malheiro P. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
46', Sikan D. ↓, Muhammed Cham ↑,
69', Yokuslu O. 🟨,
72', Visca E. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
73', Mendy B. 🟨,
75', Fredy 🟨,
77', Okita J. ↓, Antalyali T. ↑,
77', Celustka O. ↓, Ergun U. ↑,
79', Fredy 🟨,
89', Yokuslu O. 🟨,
90', Bayrakdar G. 🟨,
90+4', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Eskihellac M. ↓, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↑,
98', 3 - 2, Zubkov O. ⚽, Banza S. (A),
101', Seferi T. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
101', Mohammed M. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
105', Saatci S. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
106', Zubkov O. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
108', Cakir U. 🟨,
109', Mendy B. 🟨,
116', Banza S. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodrumspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Trabzonspor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Trabzonspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
29.03.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Trabzonspor - Hatayspor	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Konyaspor - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
28.03.25	Bodrumspor - Fenerbahçe	2:4 ✺
16.03.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
22.12.24	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	1:0

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