Match Info

SCOTLAND: Lowland League

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Tranent Juniors		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	3.38	3.9	1.87
	3.38	3.9	1.88
	3.36	3.98	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.43)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	1.89 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranent Juniors
27.4%

Draw
23.6%

East Kilbride
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

23.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranent Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranent Juniors's form might have worsened.

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting East Kilbride's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranent Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tranent Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for East Kilbride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tranent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tranent have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tranent won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranent Juniors FC
Scottish Lowland League
13.04.24	Linlithgow Rose - Tranent Juniors	1:0 ✺
10.04.24	Tranent Juniors - Albion Rovers	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Civil Service Strollers - Tranent Juniors	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Celtic B - Tranent Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Broomhill - Tranent Juniors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish Lowland League
18.04.24	Civil Service Strollers - East Kilbride	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Albion Rovers - East Kilbride	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	East Kilbride - Berwick Rangers	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Broomhill - East Kilbride	1:6 ✺
16.03.24	East Kilbride - Boness United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Lowland League
13.02.24	East Kilbride - Tranent Juniors	3:2
Scottish Cup
28.10.23	Tranent Juniors - East Kilbride	7:0
Scottish Lowland League
15.04.23	East Kilbride - Tranent Juniors	1:1

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