Match Info

League One - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	SPFL Player


	East Kilbride		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.10
	1.95	3.50	3.10
	2.00	3.35	3.05
	2.11	3.77	3.13
	2	3.75	3.29	Watch
	2.08	3.70	2.90
	1.87	3.70	3.32	Watch
	1.95	3.60	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	3.14 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
45.8%

Draw
25.2%

Airdrieonians
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

25.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for East Kilbride, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

East Kilbride - Airdrieonians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 24. O'Connor D. 2. Steele A. 23. Robertson M. 8. Balde J. 26. Armstrong R. 36. Culbert S. 11. McGuffie C. 9. Elliott C. (C) 7. McGrattan L.	1. Sneddon J. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 31. Gallagher D. 4. Ross C. (C) 5. Fisher S. 8. Gallagher G. 16. Smith C. 6. Simpson E. 27. Gibson L. 25. Gentles J. 22. Burnside C.
Substitutes
19. Calder O. 17. Dargie R. 16. East E. 21. Gill M. (G) 6. Kennedy L. 15. Maguire B. 14. McKenzie C. 12. Ross E. 22. Smith A.	21. Adams R. (G) 12. Boateng K. 14. Devine A. 29. Iserhienrhien D. 7. Mahon R. 9. Mebude D. 33. Taylor K. 24. Tumilty R. 10. Yates M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Elliott C. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, McGuffie C. ⚽,
31', Robertson M. 🟨,
38', Armstrong R. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Gentles J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Robertson M. ↓, East E. ↑,
56', McGrattan L. ↓, Calder O. ↑,
61', Calder O. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
62', Gentles J. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
62', Simpson E. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Gallagher G. ⚽, Smith C. (A),
67', Steele A. 🟨,
70', Armstrong R. ↓, McKenzie C. ↑,
73', Fisher S. 🟨,
75', Balde J. 🟨,
77', Gallagher G. ↓, Tumilty R. ↑,
77', Gibson L. ↓, Mahon R. ↑,
81', Mebude D. 🟨,
88', Burnside C. ↓, Iserhienrhien D. ↑,
90+2', O'Connor D. 🟨,
90+3', Gallagher D. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 5th).

East Kilbride is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Airdrieonians is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with East Kilbride holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, East Kilbride has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 1:3.3 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	East Kilbride	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
5	Airdrieonians	12	3	4	5	10:19	-9	13

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 1.37% Airdrieonians: 0.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
03.10.26	East Fife - East Kilbride	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	East Kilbride - Celtic B	3:3 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Alloa Athletic - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWW
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
03.10.26	Airdrieonians - Montrose	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Airdrieonians - Berwick Rangers	7:1 ✺
22.09.26	Bonnyrigg Rose - Airdrieonians	1:6 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
08.08.26	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	1:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.10.24	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	1:2 penalties
Scottish League Cup
16.07.24	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	8:0

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