Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Sport 1


	Transinvest		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.45	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.49
	5.5	4.3	1.52	Watch
	6.2	4.4	1.51
	6.02	4.55	1.47	Watch
	6.35	4.55	1.45	Watch
	5.5	4.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (5.03)	4.4 ↑ (4.08)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest
16.1%

Draw
21.2%

Mladá Boleslav
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

22.6%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Transinvest - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: Mladá Boleslav will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cupic S. (G) 3. Malzinskas D. 5. Sveikauskas R. 2. Civilis A. 77. Pilibaitis L. (C) 11. Radchenko A. 75. Stockunas E. 45. Sato M. 19. Guilherme Pires 31. Carlos Eduardo 10. Devens H.	29. Trmal M. (G) 31. Kostka D. 17. Suchy M. (C) 14. Kral T. 11. Fulnek J. 30. Marecek D. 66. Vydra P. 6. Langhamer D. 70. Buryan J. 10. Ladra T. 23. Kusej V.
Substitutes
89. Cerniavskij E. (G) 99. Jarusevicius G. 55. Juska E. 12. Kaskelevicius I. 14. Kawachi Y. 20. Kiselevskis P. 98. Kruzikas I. 79. Melashenko S. (G) 9. Nwoga C. 6. Sakurai K.	13. Donat D. 59. Floder J. (G) 20. John S. 3. Kralik M. 28. Masek L. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 84. Poulolo F. 18. Pulkrab M. 5. Sakala B. 12. Stransky V. 22. Vanicek A. 9. Vojta M.
Coaches
Grudzinskas Z.	Holoubek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Buryan J. 🟨,
31', Malzinskas D. 🟨,
45+1', Sveikauskas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Buryan J. ↓, John S. ↑,
60', Kusej V. 🟨,
61', Sato M. ↓, Kiselevskis P. ↑,
62', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Kawachi Y. ↑,
65', Kostka D. ↓, Masek L. ↑,
65', Ladra T. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
66', Marecek D. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
67', Civilis A. 🟨,
76', Kiselevskis P. 🟨,
76', Guilherme Pires ↓, Kruzikas I. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Vojta M. ⚽,
79', Pilibaitis L. ↓, Sakurai K. ↑,
79', Malzinskas D. ↓, Kaskelevicius I. ↑,
79', Kusej V. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
84', Vydra P. ↓, Sakala B. ↑,
90+2', Devens H. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Transinvest is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mladá Boleslav is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Transinvest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mladá Boleslav is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Transinvest won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Transinvest
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Transinvest	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.07.24	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
05.07.24	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Transinvest - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
28.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slovácko	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Transinvest	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.07.24	Jablonec - Mladá Boleslav	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Vysočina Jihlava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Mladá Boleslav - Transinvest	2:0

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