Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio


	Trapani		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.1	3
	2.33	3	3.2
	2.32	3.47	2.79	Watch
	2.28	3.02	3.04	Watch
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
39.9%

Draw
29.1%

Audace Cerignola
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Trapani - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 31. Pirrello R. 13. Salines E. 5. Stramaccioni D. 26. Kirwan N. 74. Marcolini D. 8. Celeghin E. 3. Giron M. 10. Canotto L. 21. Fischnaller M. (C) 39. Grandolfo F.	1. Greco S. (G) 2. Todisco G. 15. Ligi A. 23. Gasbarro A. 25. Spaltro R. 10. Paolucci L. 11. Bianchini G. 4. Vitale G. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 29. Cuppone L.
Substitutes
. Adragna G. 30. Carriero G. 99. Ciotti P. 11. Ciuferri F. 47. Di Noia G. 17. La Sorsa C. 23. Motoc A. 34. Negro S. 37. Palmieri R. 27. Podrini F. 22. Salamone S. (G) 24. Sposito A. (G) 9. Vazquez F.	17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 58. Cretella C. 7. Dabizas A. 90. Emmausso M. 22. Fares G. (G) 9. Gambale D. 71. Ianzano D. 31. Iliev V. (G) 93. Labranca R. 20. Miguel Angel 24. Moreso O. 99. Parlato C. 83. Ruggiero Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Celeghin E. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Fischnaller M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Vitale G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Canotto L. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
53', Marcolini D. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
63', Spaltro R. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
64', Bianchini G. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
77', Grandolfo F. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
78', D'Orazio L. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
78', Pirrello R. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
79', Paolucci L. ↓, Miguel Angel ↑,
81', Giron M. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
88', Vitale G. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Recent performances by Trapani have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Audace Cerignola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Trapani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Trapani - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Benevento - Trapani	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Salernitana - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.03.25	Audace Cerignola - Trapani	1:0
20.10.24	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	5:1

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