Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)

Referee: Gasparyan A. (Arm)

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tre Fiori		Larne

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.90	1.42	Watch
	7.00	4.60	1.44
	6.75	4.60	1.41	Watch
	6.60	4.31	1.47
	7.11	4.8	1.4	Watch
	6.50	4.25	1.46
	6.34	4.15	1.53
	6.60	4.60	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.64 ↓ (11.64)	4.4 ↓ (5.06)	1.45 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
14.1%

Draw
21.3%

Larne
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Fiori's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.1%	3.1%	93.7%

Tre Fiori - Larne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Larne (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Larne will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Larne will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Nardi M. (G) 6. Syku T. 5. Rea S. 23. Sirri A. 2. D'Addario A. 29. Bertani R. 4. Sami B. 24. Mengucci P. 20. Benedettini F. 10. Bernardi T. L. 9. Prandelli M. (C)	1. Ferguson R. (G) 3. Ridley M. 5. McClelland S. 4. Donnelly A. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 26. Bent D. 6. Gallagher C. 15. Doherty R. 11. Graham S. 45. Gibson M. 30. Lusty M.
Substitutes
27. Ben Kacem M. 33. Berardi M. (G) 25. Castagnoli A. (G) 8. Censoni L. 16. Dolcini F. 76. Manara N. 12. Pesaresi F. 99. Ponticelli G. 3. Sancisi M. 28. Terenzi L.	36. Graham D. (G) 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 21. Millar L. 19. O'Hara K. 8. Randall M. 47. Simpson J. 25. Sloan D. 17. Ukek J. 2. Wallace L.
Coaches
Girolomoni D.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Graham S. 🟨,
19', McClelland S. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Lusty M. ⚽, McClelland S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McClelland S. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
56', Mengucci P. ↓, Sancisi M. ↑,
56', D'Addario A. ↓, Ponticelli G. ↑,
58', Prandelli M. 🟨,
63', Rea S. ↓, Pesaresi F. ↑,
63', Doherty R. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
63', Gibson M. ↓, Ukek J. ↑,
66', Girolomoni D. 🟨,
78', Benedettini F. ↓, Dolcini F. ↑,
78', Bernardi T. L. ↓, Manara N. ↑,
79', Lusty M. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
88', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Larne is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.05.26	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.04.26	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Faetano - Tre Fiori	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tre Fiori - AC Libertas	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	Murata - Tre Fiori	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWW
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Charity Shield
03.07.26	Larne - Coleraine	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Larne	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Stranraer - Larne	0:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
25.04.26	Larne - Dungannon Swifts	8:0 ✺
17.04.26	Glentoran - Larne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWT

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