Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)

Referee: Bosca I. (Mda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Tre Fiori		Pyunik

	1	X	2
	15	7.5	1.13	Watch
	11	5.75	1.22
	19	7	1.14
	17.57	7.31	1.12
				Watch
	12	5.5	1.22
	17.2	8.93	1.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.3 ↑ (7)	7 ↑ (4.2)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
6.1%

Draw
13.4%

Pyunik
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tre Fiori's form might have worsened.

Pyunik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pyunik's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.5%	95.5%

Tre Fiori - Pyunik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Pyunik (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Tre Fiori (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pyunik will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pyunik will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tre Fiori (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Pyunik (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Nardi M. (G) 2. Matteoni G. 5. Rea S. 23. Sirri A. 36. Manfroni M. 20. Benedettini F. 8. Censoni L. 16. Dolcini F. 12. Vandi P. 77. Ferri M. 9. Prandelli M. (C)	16. Avagyan H. (G) 2. Alemao 79. Vakulenko S. 76. Almeida F. 26. Miljkovic A. (C) 25. Kulikov D. 14. Otubanjo Y. 22. Islamovic S. 8. Tarakhchyan G. 19. Metoyan S. 23. Vagner Goncalves
Substitutes
24. Berardi M. (G) 6. Boldini C. 13. Braschi L. 25. Castagnoli A. (G) 7. Ciccione F. 26. Guerra A. 11. Pini A. 14. Rastelli T.	13. Aghbalyan D. 11. Bopesu J. 71. Buchnev S. (G) 21. Galstyan S. 3. Kainourgios N. 15. Kovalenko M. 7. Malakyan E. 10. Moreno Sanchez J. 99. Noubissi M. 4. Udo S. 9. Vareika M.
Coaches
Girolomoni D.	Melikyan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Prandelli M. 🟨,
24', Metoyan S. 🟨,
35', Manfroni M. 🟨,
42', Ferri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ferri M. ↓, Braschi L. ↑,
61', Matteoni G. ↓, Pini A. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Manfroni M. ⚽,
68', Miljkovic A. ↓, Moreno Sanchez J. ↑,
68', Kulikov D. ↓, Aghbalyan D. ↑,
68', Tarakhchyan G. ↓, Kainourgios N. ↑,
70', Pini A. 🟨,
73', Metoyan S. ↓, Noubissi M. ↑,
75', Manfroni M. ↓, Guerra A. ↑,
81', Vagner Goncalves ↓, Malakyan E. ↑,
87', Censoni L. ↓, Ciccione F. ↑,
87', Vandi P. ↓, Boldini C. ↑,
88', Malakyan E. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Pyunik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pyunik is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.05.25	Virtus - Tre Fiori	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.05.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Tre Fiori - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTWW
- Pyunik Yerevan
Club Friendly
29.06.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Pyunik	0:2 ✺
Armenian Premier League
23.05.25	Van - Pyunik	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Pyunik - Ararat	5:2 ✺
09.05.25	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Pyunik - BKMA Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

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