Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio di Fiorentino (Fiorentino)


	Fiorentino		Tre Fiori

	1	X	2
	12.5	4.65	1.22	Watch
	10.46	5.18	1.22
	12.47	5.19	1.23	Watch
	15	4.6	1.22
	16.5	5.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.39 ↑ (8.4)	4.94 ↑ (4.62)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentino
6.8%

Draw
18.4%

Tre Fiori
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

19.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

19.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tre Fiori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-3%)

Fiorentino - Tre Fiori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Bernardi T. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 2, Bernardi T. L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tre Fiori is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	9	9
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.02.26	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Virtus - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	La Fiorita - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fiorentino - Folgore	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Domagnano - Fiorentino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 WLWLW
- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.02.26	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Folgore - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tre Fiori - Domagnano	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.11.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:0
07.05.25	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:2
04.05.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	3:1
15.02.25	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	1:1
27.01.24	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	2:1
30.09.23	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	1:0
02.04.23	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:1

Fiorentino - Tre Fiori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide