Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 37

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Atalanta U23		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
	1.83	3.55	4
	1.92	3.45	3.92
	1.87	3.49	4.11	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.9	3.41	4.03	Watch
	1.83	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.36 ↓ (3.69)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
47.7%

Draw
27.6%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

23.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

The chances for Union ArzignanoChiampo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 15. Obric R. 37. Navarro A. 66. Bergonzi F. 10. Panada S. 5. Pounga D. K. 33. Bernasconi L. 9. De Nipoti T. 26. Alessio F. 99. Vlahovic V.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 57. Milillo A. 4. Rossoni S. 33. Boffelli A. 26. Boccia S. 11. Benedetti G. 5. Bordo L. (C) 13. Cariolato F. 23. Bernardi E. 17. Barba G. 72. Mattioli A.
Substitutes
23. Artesani N. 4. Berto G. 31. Cassa F. 20. Ceresoli A. 13. Comi P. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 3. Del Lungo T. 14. Ghislandi D. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 32. Mencaraglia F. 1. Pardel P. (G) 25. Scheffer M. 11. Vavassori D.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 25. Brevi T. 32. Campesan E. 2. De Zen R. 14. Di Virgilio M. 8. Fofana L. 21. Jallow S. 9. Menabo S. 18. Minesso M. 16. Shiba C. 27. Toniolo F. 96. Verduci G. 44. Zanella A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Panada S. 🟥,
10', 0 - 1, Boffelli A. (Pen),
17', Milillo A. 🟨,
20', 0 - 2, Benedetti G. ⚽,
29', Boffelli A. ↓, Toniolo F. ↑,
38', 1 - 2, Bergonzi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barba G. ↓, Fofana L. ↑,
46', 🟨,
46', Alessio F. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
59', Cariolato F. 🟨,
64', Vlahovic V. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
72', Boccia S. 🟨,
73', Bernardi E. ↓, Brevi T. ↑,
73', Benedetti G. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
73', De Nipoti T. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Jallow S. ⚽,
83', Bernasconi L. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
83', Bergonzi F. ↓, Ceresoli A. ↑,
90+2', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).

Atalanta U23 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches ArzignanoChiampo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in ArzignanoChiampo: Lakti E. (Red Card) Lunghi A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in ArzignanoChiampo: Antoniazzi M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.33%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
12.04.25	Union Clodiense - Atalanta U23	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Pro Patria - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Atalanta U23 - Padova	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Atalanta U23 - FeralpiSalò	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWTW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Pergolettese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Atalanta U23	3:1
28.04.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Atalanta U23	1:1
22.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0

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