Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.55	5.3
	1.45	4.68	5.54
	3.03	3.28	2.27	Watch
	1.43	4.45	5.73
	1.63	3.86	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.63)	4.16 ↑ (3.86)	4.65 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
55%

Draw
23.7%

Cwmbran Celtic
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

20.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treowen Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+3%)

Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Powell I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Hayman F. 🟥,
85', 1 - 2, Meecham G. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Lewis M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Treowen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Treowen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Treowen is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Treowen Stars	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Treowen Stars - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Afan Lido - Treowen Stars	0:4 ✺
25.07.25	Cambrian United - Treowen Stars	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLWL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Newport City	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
08.08.25	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLL

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