Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 1d 16h 📅 Remind Me


	Baglan Dragons		Treowen Stars

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	2.80
	2.26	3.59	2.81	Watch
	2.16	3.54	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.26)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	2.79 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
41.7%

Draw
25.8%

Treowen Stars
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 11th).

In recent outings, Baglan Dragons has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Treowen has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Baglan Dragons has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 2:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Baglan Dragons against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	11	5	2	4	12:12	0	17
11	Treowen	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Baglan Dragons - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLW
- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Treowen Stars - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pontardawe Town - Treowen Stars	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.03.26	Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons	4:1
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4

Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars