Match Info

Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Newport City

	1	X	2
	8.6	5.7	1.22
	8.96	6.1	1.2
	7.92	5.06	1.33	Watch
	9.05	5.3	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.63 ↑ (7.32)	5.54 ↑ (4.2)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
10.6%

Draw
16.5%

Newport City
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.6%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Cwmbran Celtic - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Hinwood J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Kabza G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Cwmbran Celtic is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newport City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Newport City is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
08.08.25	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Baglan Dragons - Newport City	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Trefelin - Newport City	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Haverfordwest County - Newport City	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.04.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0
28.12.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Newport City	0:1

Upcoming Matches