Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Trefelin		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.3	9.4
	1.18	7.01	8.9
	1.36	5.01	7.05	Watch
	1.18	6.15	11.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 (1.23)	6.12 ↑ (6)	9.19 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
75%

Draw
15%

Cwmbran Celtic
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

15%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Piper R. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
55', 3 - 0, Piper R. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 2.

In recent matches, Trefelin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Trefelin is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trefelin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
16.08.25	Treowen Stars - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Trefelin - Newport City	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Trefelin - Pen-y-Bont	1:6 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
08.08.25	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0
10.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:3
17.04.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	4:1
23.09.23	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	1:2
15.04.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:1
01.10.22	Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1
22.01.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	2:1

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