Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 2

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)


	Sport Recife		Treze

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.5	12.5
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.2	5.79	13.41
	1.22	5	10
	1.19	5.8	12.4	Watch
	1.22	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.39)	5.47 ↑ (4.35)	11.89 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
75.6%

Draw
16.7%

Treze
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

20.9%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

20%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sport Recife - Treze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 8. Dominguez F. 94. Felipe 6. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 55. Lucas Andre 40. Luciano Castan 54. Pedro Lima 17. Pedro Vilhena 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 11. Romarinho	72. Igor Rayan (G) 10. Edmundo 2. Guilherme Lucena 6. Higor 5. Juninho 9. Lucas Mineiro 3. Luis Fernando 4. Rafael Castro 8. Roberto 7. Will 11. Xande
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 20. Arthur Caike 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 39. Italo 2. Lucas Ramon 27. Pablo Dyego 13. Renzo 28. Rosales R. 10. Ruiz A. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto	26. Andrade (G) 14. Bruno Ferreira 15. Jan Pieter 21. Jonatha 20. Leo Cereja 18. Matheus Chaves 24. Nayan (G) 19. Paulo Junior 16. Pedrao 22. Rickelme 17. Rubens Carvalho

Preview

Sport Recife is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Treze is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sport Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Treze have a series of home games.

In this match Sport Recife is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sport Recife to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
06.02.24	Sport Recife - Central SC	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.24	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.24	Flamengo Arcoverde - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
29.01.24	Sport Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Maguary - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- Treze FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.02.24	Treze - Ríver PI	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.24	Treze - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Nacional de Patos - Treze	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Treze - Serra Branca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Treze - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	Treze - Sport Recife	2:2

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