The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Triestina 35.8%
Draw 30.9%
FeralpiSalò 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
28.6%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
29.6%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.
FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FeralpiSalò's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FeralpiSalò, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Triestina - FeralpiSalò Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 17. Jonsson K. 19. Silvestri T. 5. Frare D. 21. Tonetto M. 16. Fiordilino L. 15. Correia O. (C) 7. Ionita A. 10. D'Urso C. 13. Strizzolo L. 99. Olivieri M.
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 5. Pasini N. 35. Cabianca E. 21. Cavuoti N. 20. Zennaro M. 15. De Francesco A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 11. Giudici L. 29. Santini C. 10. Di Molfetta D.
Substitutes
44. Bianconi A. 3. Bijleveld T. 77. Cortinovis A. 46. Embalo Sambu B. 35. Izzo M. 73. Kosijer S. 30. Mastrantonio D. (G) 38. Mutavcic M. 9. Vertainen E. 42. Voca I.
24. Boci B. 75. Brambilla A. 17. Crespi V. 26. Diop S. 27. Hergheligiu D. 22. Liverani L. (G) 12. Lovato E. (G) 16. Luciani A. 4. Sorensen F. 70. Tomaselli G. 63. Verzeletti M.
Coaches
Tesser A.
Diana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Cabianca E. ⚽,
16', Santini C. 🟨,
28', Olivieri M. 🟨,
40', Rinaldi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Strizzolo L. ⚽,
55', Cavuoti N. ↓, Hergheligiu D. ↑,
56', Ionita A. ↓, Cortinovis A. ↑,
56', Tonetto M. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
56', Giudici L. ↓, Boci B. ↑,
66', De Francesco A. ↓, Luciani A. ↑,
66', Santini C. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
69', Fiordilino L. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
81', Strizzolo L. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
81', Silvestri T. 🟨,
82', Rizzo A. ↓, Verzeletti M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Crespi V. ⚽,
84', Crespi V. 🟨,
90', Correia O. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Triestina won 0.
Recent matches Triestina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
FeralpiSalò is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Triestina: Bianconi A.
(Inactive)
Germano U.
(Inactive)
Pavlev D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in FeralpiSalò: Boci B.
(Injury)
Di Marco T.
(Inactive)
Maistrello T.
(Injury)
Pilati A.
(Inactive)
Sina S.
(Inactive)
Tomaselli G.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Triestina won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.3:0.5).