Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Giana Erminio		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.42	2.88	3.05
	2.23	2.97	3.57
	2.43	2.79	3.16	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.4	2.77	3.1	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)	2.84 ↓ (3.34)	3.28 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
39.7%

Draw
32.3%

Triestina
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Giana Erminio - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Triestina will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giana Erminio: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 27. Alborghetti M. 26. Previtali N. 7. Pinto D. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 97. Gabbiani G. 90. Vitale V.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 26. D'Amore F. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. (C) 11. Gunduz T. 9. Vertainen E. 29. Kljajic N.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 5. Berretta A. 11. Capelli A. 19. Duca T. 10. Lamesta A. 37. Lischetti L. 12. Magni S. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 16. Rizzo A. 1. Zenti A. (G)	22. Borriello F. (G) 24. De Luca A. 10. D'Urso C. 27. Faggioli A. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 3. Palma L. 16. Vicario J. 15. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vitale V. ⚽,
31', Pinto D. 🟨,
45', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kljajic N. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Vertainen E. ⚽,
56', Vertainen E. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
56', Gunduz T. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
63', Pinto D. ↓, Lamesta A. ↑,
63', Previtali N. ↓, Occhipinti E. ↑,
63', Gabbiani G. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
71', Colombara M. 🟨,
72', Vitale V. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
73', Faggioli A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Lamesta A. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Pedicillo L. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
85', Colombara M. ↓, Duca T. ↑,
90', Alborghetti M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
30.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Giana Erminio - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
17.11.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Triestina - Trento	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Triestina - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	3:0
08.11.24	Triestina - Giana Erminio	0:1
11.05.24	Triestina - Giana Erminio	1:1
14.04.24	Giana Erminio - Triestina	0:1
09.12.23	Triestina - Giana Erminio	2:1
16.04.22	Giana Erminio - Triestina	1:1
12.12.21	Triestina - Giana Erminio	2:1

Upcoming Matches