Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Virtus Verona		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.3
	2.84	3.15	2.46	Watch
	2.94	3.26	2.37	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.78)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	2.35 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
31.3%

Draw
29.2%

Triestina
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

26%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Virtus Verona - Triestina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 75. Bassi M. 5. Fanini F. 80. Bulevardi D. 7. Amadio M. 47. Cuel E. 10. Zarpellon L. 90. Odogwu C.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 2. Silvestro A. 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 26. D'Amore F. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. (C) 11. Gunduz T. 16. Vicario J. 9. Vertainen E.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 3. Cielo T. 9. De Marchi M. 14. Di Virgilio M. 20. Fiorin G. 30. Gatti C. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 21. Muhameti E. 44. Pagliuca M. 29. Saiani F. 12. Scardigno N. (G)	22. Borriello F. (G) 24. De Luca A. 10. D'Urso C. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 27. Faggioli A. 29. Kljajic N. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 15. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Daffara M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daffara M. ↓, Saiani F. ↑,
46', Cuel E. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
46', Zarpellon L. 🟨,
47', Fanini F. 🟨,
48', Silvestro A. 🟨,
55', Jonsson K. 🟨,
59', Vicario J. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
73', Crnigoj D. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
81', Zarpellon L. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
82', Gunduz T. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
82', Vertainen E. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
90+2', Faggioli A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2.

Virtus Verona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Triestina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Verona - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Triestina - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.25	Triestina - Trento	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Triestina - Brescia	0:1 ✺
27.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Triestina	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
01.03.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	2:2
19.10.24	Triestina - Virtus Verona	0:2
07.04.24	Triestina - Virtus Verona	0:1
02.12.23	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.23	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0
02.10.22	Triestina - Virtus Verona	3:2

Virtus Verona - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide