Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Triestina		Trento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.05	2.52
	3.01	2.92	2.62
	2.72	3.26	2.49	Watch
	2.72	2.92	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.72)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
33.1%

Draw
30.4%

Trento
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Triestina - Trento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Trento (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Trento (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 2. Silvestro A. 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 26. D'Amore F. 33. Crnigoj D. (C) 17. Jonsson K. 28. Pedicillo L. 11. Gunduz T. 16. Vicario J. 29. Kljajic N.	22. Tommasi M. (G) 29. Fiamozzi R. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 27. Triacca D. 5. Sangalli M. 23. Aucelli C. 10. Giannotti P. 71. Chinetti F. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.
Substitutes
22. Borriello F. (G) 10. D'Urso C. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 27. Faggioli A. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 9. Vertainen E. 15. Voca I.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 20. Benedetti G. 70. Calza G. 38. Corallo C. 24. Dalmonte N. 6. Fedele S. 2. Fontana D. 14. Fossati M. 37. Genco A. 19. Muca Z. 12. Rubboli L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gunduz T. ⚽,
34', Crnigoj D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Pedicillo L. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
60', Kljajic N. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
62', Sangalli M. ↓, Fossati M. ↑,
70', Triacca D. 🟨,
73', Giannotti P. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
73', Chinetti F. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
76', Crnigoj D. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
77', Vicario J. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
84', Silvestro A. ↓, Kiyine S. ↑,
88', Triacca D. ↓, Fedele S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Dalmonte N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 2.

Triestina is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Trento is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Trento - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Triestina - Brescia	0:1 ✺
27.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Triestina	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Cittadella - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Trento - Ospitaletto	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Verona - Trento	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lumezzane - Trento	1:1 ✺
13.10.25	Trento - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.02.25	Triestina - Trento	1:0
29.09.24	Trento - Triestina	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Triestina - Trento	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
07.01.24	Trento - Triestina	0:1
04.09.23	Triestina - Trento	0:1
29.01.23	Triestina - Trento	0:2
24.09.22	Trento - Triestina	1:1

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