The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Vercelli 40.5%
Draw 31%
Triestina 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
28.6%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.5%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Vercelli's performance.
Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Triestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Pro Vercelli - Triestina Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pro Vercelli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Vercelli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Livieri A. (G) 28. Carosso A. 44. Clemente G. 3. Coccolo L. 29. Pino E. 14. Iotti I. (C) 4. El Bouchataoui A. 8. Burruano A. 7. Mallahi M. 9. Coppola G. 11. Sow A.
1. Matosevic K. (G) 26. D'Amore F. 2. Silvestro A. 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. (C) 16. Vicario J. 11. Gunduz T. 29. Kljajic N.
Substitutes
92. Akpa Akpro J. 78. Anton A. 31. Fofana D. 19. Furno C. 12. Lancellotti L. (G) 1. Passador P. (G) 18. Piran L. 16. Ronchi N. 10. Rutigliano M. 21. Sow O. 20. Tarantola L. 32. Zacchera G.
22. Borriello F. (G) 10. D'Urso C. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 13. Kiyine S. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 4. Rodolfo Moises 15. Voca I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Iotti I. 🟨,
37', Silvestro A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Coppola G. (Pen),
44', 1 - 1, Gunduz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Coppola G. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
61', Mallahi M. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
62', Clemente G. 🟨,
66', Burruano A. ↓, Rutigliano M. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Sow O. ⚽,
78', Kljajic N. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Sow A. ⚽,
81', Gunduz T. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
81', Anzolin M. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
84', Pino E. ↓, Piran L. ↑,
84', El Bouchataoui A. ↓, Ronchi N. ↑,
87', Silvestro A. ↓, Rodolfo Moises ↑,
89', Rodolfo Moises 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 1.
Pro Vercelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Triestina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Pro Vercelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Pro Vercelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).