Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tristán Suárez		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.9
	2.25	2.65	3.60
	2.2	2.58	3.85	Watch
	2.34	2.62	4.29
	2.31	2.61	4.02	Watch
	2.3	2.55	4.2
	2.24	2.74	3.88	Watch
	2.2	2.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.06)	2.63 ↓ (2.71)	3.94 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
41.2%

Draw
35.3%

Almirante Brown
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

33.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

33.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Enrique M. 8. Del Priore N. 7. Olguin M. 10. Becker D. 11. Ramirez S. 9. Gallo A.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 5. Gauna S. 8. Villoldo T. 7. Abreliano M. 10. Pascual L. 11. Santiago M. 9. Martinez E.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 18. Banuera G. 20. Beron J. 15. Mastrangelo D. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A. 17. Noriega L. 16. Sanchez N.	20. Almada T. 14. Altamirano G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 13. Fernandez R. 16. Ibanez J. 18. Jara L. 17. Lopez J. 15. Velazquez J. 19. Zanotti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ramirez S. ⚽, Becker D. (A),
24', Gauna S. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Becker D. ⚽,
31', Baldi A. 🟨,
41', Gauna S. ↓, Jara L. ↑,
45+3', Abreliano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramirez S. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
46', Abreliano M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
46', Velurtas P. ↓, Ibanez J. ↑,
55', Cardozo E. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
63', Becker D. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
70', Martinez E. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
77', Olguin M. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
77', Gallo A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Beron J. ⚽, Sanchez N. (A),
83', Del Priore N. ↓, Noriega L. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Altamirano G. ⚽,
90', Altamirano G. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Tristán Suárez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tristán Suárez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristán Suárez - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tristán Suárez - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Temperley - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWWL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.08.26	Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Almirante Brown - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Mitre - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	All Boys - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1
30.06.24	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	2:2
10.02.24	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	1:2
18.09.22	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
04.12.20	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:0
16.02.20	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	2:1
01.09.19	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:0

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