Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 33

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Tristán Suárez		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.1	2.85
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.43	3.01	3.34
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.35	3.16	3.13
	2.35	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	3.06 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
39.6%

Draw
29.9%

Brown de Adrogué
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

28.6%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brown de Adrogué might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Tristán Suárez - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Gorosito I. 2. Martinez L. 6. Iriarte I. 3. Pantaleone N. 8. Ruiz P. 5. Velez R. 10. Miranda B. 11. Almada A. 7. Brambillo M. 9. Bergessio G.	1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Kippes A. 6. Herranz N. 3. Sayavedra R. 8. Da C. H. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 7. Belleggia L. 10. Perinciolo F. 9. Sandoval I. 11. Lavezzi A.
Substitutes
18. Datolo J. 14. Impini P. 12. Mendive J. (G) 20. Messiniti N. 17. Nunez P. 13. Oliva M. 16. Ortega T. 15. Perez T. 19. Zarza J.	12. Duba E. (G) 20. Gissi K. 13. Lopez T. 15. Lovazzano L. 17. Nouet F. 18. Obregon B. 16. Sangiovani R. 19. Vidal P. 14. Zaragoza L.
Coaches
Ruiz C.	Vico P.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Brown de Adrogué could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.09.23	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	5:1 ✺
24.09.23	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.23	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1
05.06.22	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	1:0
09.10.21	Tristán Suárez - Brown de Adrogué	2:2
17.06.21	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	2:1
Argentinian Primera B
08.11.15	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	0:0
20.06.15	Tristán Suárez - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
22.10.14	Brown de Adrogué - Tristán Suárez	0:0

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