Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.2
	3.5	2.85	2.25	Watch
	4.08	2.79	2.27
	3.6	2.8	2.2
	3.92	2.84	2.2
	3.6	2.85	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.71)	2.83 ↑ (2.83)	2.23 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
25.4%

Draw
32.9%

Chacarita Juniors
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

33.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brown de Adrogué's form might have worsened.

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chacarita Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brown de Adrogué, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Chacarita will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Lovazzano L. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Perinciolo F. 11. Sayavedra R. 7. Sangiovani R. 9. Sandoval I.	1. Correa C. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 2. Zanini A. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perdomo L. 11. Pombo C. 10. Blanco R. 7. Rodriguez Matias 9. Gimenez L.
Substitutes
15. Belleggia L. 16. Da Campo N. 12. Duba E. (G) 13. Herranz N. 19. Lavezzi A. 18. Nouet F. 17. Obregon B. 20. Vidal P. 14. Zaragoza L.	16. Beltramone E. 17. Chavez N. 14. Fernandez T. 15. Gomez N. 13. Lettieri E. 12. Losas F. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 20. Pulicastro F. 19. Rasic F.
Coaches
Vico P.	Biggeri A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Chacarita is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1.

Recent matches Brown de Adrogué is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chacarita is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWTW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.09.23	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Chacarita Juniors - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
02.07.22	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
03.12.20	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
02.11.19	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	0:1
02.03.19	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	3:0
10.05.17	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	1:2
13.10.16	Brown de Adrogué - Chacarita Juniors	1:2

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