Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	2.06	2.97	4.48
	2	2.88	4
	1.98	3.14	4.3
	2.03	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)	4.21 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
46.4%

Draw
31.4%

Brown de Adrogué
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

29.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Petrasso F. 2. Flores S. 6. Maidana M. 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Paz L. 5. Ham E. 11. Tonetto D. 10. Sanchez B. 7. Ramis V. 9. Valdez I.	1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Sangiovani R. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 7. Lovazzano L. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Sandoval I. 10. Vidal P.
Substitutes
14. Abecasis L. 18. Aguirre J. 17. Ascacibar J. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 16. Ortale M. 19. Perales J. 20. Reali M. 15. Varela C.	15. Belleggia L. 14. Castano A. 16. Da C. H. 12. Diaz F. (G) 19. Lavezzi A. 13. Mayola E. 20. Mendoza J. 17. Nouet F. 18. Obregon B.
Coaches
Berti A.	Vico P.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Independiente Rivadavia is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Racing de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
23.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
08.11.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
10.07.21	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
17.03.19	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
19.11.17	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
29.07.17	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0

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