Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Tigres de Álica

	1	X	2
	2.31	2.92	2.9
	2.34	2.99	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
38.7%

Draw
30.5%

Tigres de Álica
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Tigres de Álica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tritones Vallarta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tritones Vallarta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tuzos UAZ	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Tritones Vallarta - Guerreros de Autlán	3:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTL
- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
24.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tigres de Álica	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Ensenada	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.04.25	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
01.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	2:1
30.11.24	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	0:1
19.10.24	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	0:2

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