Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Jadran Poreč

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.5	4.1	5.4
	1.51	4.18	5.31	Watch
	1.5	4	5.48
	1.5	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	4.08 ↑ (4)	5.32 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
60.6%

Draw
22.3%

Jadran Poreč
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Jadran Poreč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Poreč than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Trnje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jadran Poreč is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jadran Poreč could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trnje is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trnje won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Trnje won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
02.11.24	Trnje Zagreb - Grobničan	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	Karlovac - Trnje Zagreb	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Trnje Zagreb - Bjelovar	2:2 ✺
11.10.24	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Trnje Zagreb	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Trnje Zagreb - Uljanik Pula	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWW
- Jadran Poreč
Croatian Druga NL
02.11.24	Jadran Poreč - Karlovac	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Bjelovar - Jadran Poreč	7:2 ✺
19.10.24	Jadran Poreč - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	Uljanik Pula - Jadran Poreč	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Jadran Poreč - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
16.03.24	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	1:0
09.09.23	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč	2:1
06.05.23	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	2:1
29.10.22	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Poreč	3:3

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