Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 22

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Opatija

	1	X	2
	2.57	3	2.41
	2.46	3.12	2.43
	2.74	3.13	2.38
	3.7	3.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.7)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.28 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
31.5%

Draw
29%

Opatija
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.2%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trnje Zagreb's performance.

Opatija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Opatija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trnje Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Opatija than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Opatija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

Trnje is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Opatija is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Opatija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Opatija will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trnje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Trnje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
30.03.24	Belišće - Trnje Zagreb	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Trnje Zagreb - Kustošija	0:4 ✺
16.03.24	Jadran Poreč - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Trnje Zagreb - Bjelovar	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Trnje Zagreb - Karlovac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL
- NK Opatija
Croatian Druga NL
29.03.24	Opatija - Mladost Ždralovi	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Radnik Križevci - Opatija	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Opatija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Marsonia - Opatija	1:4 ✺
01.03.24	Opatija - Dugo Selo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
29.09.23	Opatija - Trnje Zagreb	2:0
02.04.23	Opatija - Trnje Zagreb	2:1
24.09.22	Trnje Zagreb - Opatija	2:0
Club Friendly
09.06.20	Trnje Zagreb - Opatija	2:4
08.06.20	Trnje Zagreb - Opatija	N/A

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