Match Info

Druga NL - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Đakovo Croatia

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.5	2.15
	3.23	3.55	2.02	Watch
	2.84	3.5	2.17
	2.95	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.4)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
30.7%

Draw
25.8%

Đakovo Croatia
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trnje Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Đakovo Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Đakovo Croatia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trnje Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Đakovo Croatia than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Đakovo Croatia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trnje Zagreb - Đakovo Croatia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gataric N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Trnje has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Đakovo Croatia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trnje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
04.10.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Trnje Zagreb	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Solin	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Trnje Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWL
- HNK Đakovo Croatia
Croatian Druga NL
27.09.25	Đakovo Croatia - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Uskok Klis - Đakovo Croatia	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Đakovo Croatia - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Segesta - Đakovo Croatia	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Đakovo Croatia - Radnik Križevci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLLW

Upcoming Matches