Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.68	3.6	5.57
	1.68	3.55	5.57
	1.63	3.65	5.13
	1.6	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	5.12 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
56.6%

Draw
25.4%

Canelas
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Silva N. (G) 77. Viana D. 4. Semeu 14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 30. Santos W. 55. Tiago Andre 10. Valente N. 8. Berna 44. Saldanha F. 70. Wilson 84. Ayiah E.	1. Matos J. (G) 3. Bastos V. (C) 23. Emanuel 30. Santos D. M. 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 10. Sousa C. 14. Doukoure H. 49. Silva J. 2. Lixa G. 28. Tank A. 98. Lourenco O.
Substitutes
33. Andre Rosa 54. Antunes T. 18. Diagne O. 24. Edu 29. Joel 17. Kukula 26. Marques L. 9. Paciencia V. 71. Vieira R. (G)	4. Carvalho A. 24. Dani 77. Duarte M. 6. Luan 80. Miguel B. (G) 20. Ribeiro F. 8. Samu 66. Soares J. 11. Sousa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Doukoure H. 🟨,
21', Santos W. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Valente N. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Tiago Andre ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Doukoure H. ↓, Luan ↑,
46', Silva J. 🟨,
49', 3 - 0, Wilson ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Tank A. ⚽,
64', Santos W. ↓, Joel ↑,
64', Wilson ↓, Kukula ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Ayiah E. ⚽,
67', Lourenco O. 🟥,
73', Sousa C. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
73', dos Santos Simao L. P. ↓, Ribeiro F. ↑,
76', Viana D. ↓, Antunes T. ↑,
80', Assis Cardoso R. H. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
84', Valente N. ↓, Edu ↑,
90+4', Antunes T. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Trofense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trofense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
06.04.24	Trofense - Vianense	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Anadia - Trofense	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Trofense - Anadia	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Vianense - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTT
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.24	Canelas - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Vianense - Canelas	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Canelas - Vianense	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Sanjoanense - Canelas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:1
21.01.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:0
07.10.23	Trofense - Canelas	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.19	Canelas - Trofense	2:1
11.03.18	Trofense - Canelas	1:1

Trofense - Canelas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide