Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.93
	3.75	3.5	1.92
	3.6	3.3	1.92
	4.05	3.46	1.96
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.82	3.55	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.03)	3.4 ↑ (2.93)	1.93 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
24.6%

Draw
27.3%

Paços de Ferreira
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

31.2%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

30.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paços de Ferreira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trofense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	8.6%	82.9%

Trofense - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 29 - 82.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 70.4% – 95.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Paços de Ferreira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Trofense have a series of guest games.

Paços de Ferreira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese League Cup
26.11.22	Braga - Trofense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.22	Farense - Trofense	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Académico de Viseu - Trofense	3:1 ✺
07.11.22	Trofense - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Tondela - Trofense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese League Cup
20.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	4:0 ✺
28.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Famalicão - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.18	Trofense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1

Trofense - Paços de Ferreira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide