Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 7 November 2022, Monday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.15	2.2
	2.95	3.1	2.4
	3.29	3.3	2.34
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.14	3.32	2.14
	3.6	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.87)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
29.5%

Draw
28.3%

Benfica B
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25.8%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	9.1%	70.5%

Trofense - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). Benfica B will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1.

Trofense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Benfica B is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.22	Tondela - Trofense	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Trofense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Trofense - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.22	Trofense - Feirense	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Nacional - Trofense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLLW
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.22	Benfica B - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Benfica B - Mafra	5:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oliveirense - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.22	Trofense - Benfica B	2:0
22.08.21	Benfica B - Trofense	2:1
25.01.15	Trofense - Benfica B	0:2
09.08.14	Benfica B - Trofense	3:2
21.12.13	Benfica B - Trofense	5:0
10.08.13	Trofense - Benfica B	0:0
04.05.13	Trofense - Benfica B	2:3

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