Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Tondela		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.53	3.75	5.25
	1.54	3.75	5.6
	1.56	3.9	5.4
	1.6	4.1	5.95
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.55	3.88	5.4
	1.56	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	3.82 ↑ (3.45)	5.6 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
59.4%

Draw
24.1%

Trofense
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	8%	8%

Tondela - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: Tondela will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Tondela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trofense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tondela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Trofense have a series of home games.

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tondela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.22	Leixões - Tondela	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Mafra - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Académica Coimbra - Tondela	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWTW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Trofense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Trofense - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.22	Trofense - Feirense	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Nacional - Trofense	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Trofense - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
01.02.15	Tondela - Trofense	4:0
17.08.14	Trofense - Tondela	2:2
23.03.14	Tondela - Trofense	2:0
06.11.13	Trofense - Tondela	1:1
22.08.12	Tondela - Trofense	N/A

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