Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Troina		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	8.68	4.61	1.28
	8.6	4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.64 ↑ (4.84)	4.31 ↑ (3.46)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troina
10.5%

Draw
21.1%

Gelbison Cilento
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.3%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

24.4%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troina's form might have worsened.

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gelbison Cilento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troina than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gelbison Cilento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Gelbison Cilento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gelbison Cilento is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Troina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
08.05.22	Licata - Troina	0:0 ✺
04.05.22	Troina - Castrovillari	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Sancataldese - Troina	1:0 ✺
27.04.22	Troina - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Biancavilla - Troina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWW
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
08.05.22	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	4:0 ✺
04.05.22	Trapani - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Gelbison Cilento - Rende	4:1 ✺
14.04.22	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Gelbison Cilento - Cittanovese	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
22.12.21	Gelbison Cilento - Troina	5:1
07.03.21	Gelbison Cilento - Troina	3:1
18.10.20	Troina - Gelbison Cilento	1:0
21.01.18	Troina - Gelbison Cilento	0:1
17.09.17	Gelbison Cilento - Troina	1:3

Troina - Gelbison Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide